The real estate market has been greatly affected by the coronavirus pandemic, but what exactly does that mean for you? I covered that question and much more in my recent webinar.
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Thanks to all who attended my recent webinar, “Real Estate Market Update, Coronavirus Impact, and Advice on What to Do.” For those of you who weren’t able to attend, I still wanted to make sure you had all of the important information that I shared with the attendees.
We’ll start by looking at the market before the outbreak, then transition to an examination of how the state of California has been impacted by all of this from both a real estate and mortgage perspective. Finally, we’ll take a look at where the market might be heading for homebuyers, sellers, and investors, and what questions you’ll need to consider before buying and/or selling. Let’s start with a look at our real estate market before the pandemic.
Way back in February, home sales and home prices were on the rise. Single-family home sales were up by 6.6% from the previous month, and up 5.9% from February 2019. The median price was up 0.8% from January, but up 8.5% from February 2019. In fact, median prices in all regions of California went up, led by a 10% increase on the Central Coast, an 8.4% increase in Southern California, and a 5% increase in the Bay Area. Our median sale price as of February 2020 was $1,610,000, a 7% increase from the $1,505,000 we had in February 2019. Now that we know what the market looked like before the pandemic, let’s take a closer look at how we have been affected by it since.
A flash poll from the California Association of Realtors that was conducted between March 14 and March 16 found that more than half (54%) of Realtors statewide had clients who backed out from buying a home due to coronavirus concerns and 45% of Realtors had clients who backed out from selling because of the pandemic.
With new coronavirus cases continuing to spread across the nation and the declaration of a national emergency, CAR projected that many potential sellers will likely delay putting their homes on the market in the short term. If buyers follow the same route, a sharp sales decline could result in an increase in unsold inventory in the short term.
What has been the impact on mortgages? Well for starters, weekly purchase applications fell 23% in California and 17% in Washington state during the week of March 20 as compared to the previous week. Borrowers who have lost income as a result of the virus and subsequent shutdowns can ask to skip payments for as many as six months. This will have a big impact on mortgage servicers and lenders. Although rates are low right now, there are likely to be a lot of missed payments over the next few months as well.
In Santa Clara County, the impact of the coronavirus is easy to see. There were a total of 245 listings that were withdrawn or canceled between March 17 and March 31. During the same period in 2019, that number was 87. In 2018, it was 47. Additionally, the number of transactions that fell through was 89, compared to 55 in 2019 and 48 in 2018.
Buyers and sellers aren’t the only ones who have been affected by these changes. Landlords are feeling the pain, too. On March 27, Governor Newsome issued an executive order banning the enforcement of eviction orders for tenants affected by COVID-19 through May 31, 2020.
If you’re a landlord yourself, here’s what you need to do if any of your tenants cannot pay rent. They must first declare, in writing, that they cannot pay rent due to a loss of income to COVID-19. Then ask the tenant to retain documentation and proof. These documents are important for tax credits, getting a grace period on your mortgage, and/or future eviction proceedings. You’ll also need to record a traceable record of payments between January and April to show this change in rent received.
So where is our real estate market headed? There are a lot of questions that need to be answered first. For example, “Will high-tech companies have to lay off employees?” and “How will a reduction in listings and a reduction in buyers affect one another?”
Our economy had strong fundamentals coming into this outbreak, and the recovery could be swift and robust if the virus can be controlled in the next eight to 10 weeks. However, a prolonged virus with associated stay-at-home policies lasting over a period of several months will result in a recovery process that is much flatter with a longer trajectory. Only time will tell.
If you have any questions for me about anything I discussed in my seminar, in this blog, or anything else related to real estate, don’t hesitate to reach out via phone or email today. I look forward to hearing from you soon.


